Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1283.153719 1469.845323 1681.388597 1940.300976 2250.619176 2613.074348 3072.097753
2025-05-25 1016.884813 1259.347789 1562.675872 1976.081898 2534.411069 3276.555530 4362.526314
2025-06-01 871.115473 1131.317938 1477.424196 1982.800522 2721.729439 3795.881394 5541.522534
2025-06-08 765.421402 1031.537768 1403.042979 1976.560398 2872.160558 4277.519004 6784.168165
2025-06-15 699.827167 974.063022 1373.550269 2021.891536 3097.460258 4911.581231 8455.418297
2025-06-22 620.233927 884.453531 1281.960262 1952.421537 3118.791285 5203.632571 9595.405182
2025-06-29 557.300807 811.681382 1205.373838 1892.566510 3140.539157 5494.026180 10819.462141
2025-07-06 502.592391 745.366058 1130.370908 1822.797679 3129.008211 5714.162695 11963.766085
2025-07-13 482.203699 730.889867 1137.107161 1895.003805 3394.116890 6548.840075 14864.204589
2025-07-20 455.963904 703.930449 1119.258447 1918.979798 3567.627060 7232.011227 17689.191098
2025-07-27 434.511588 682.690950 1108.517223 1953.987280 3769.561231 8033.198933 21244.449472
2025-08-03 413.976776 660.975824 1094.297060 1979.588377 3955.442798 8848.035702 25298.973067
2025-08-10 401.079751 652.329279 1104.568314 2059.892581 4291.909123 10185.305426 32137.251634
2025-08-17 384.179760 635.137271 1097.282605 2103.326805 4554.272227 11425.854288 39691.134601
2025-08-24 364.745923 611.461268 1074.764187 2109.905685 4726.026644 12465.377174 47365.994979
2025-08-31 345.769241 586.996059 1048.114942 2103.259277 4862.444675 13450.619883 55823.091835
2025-09-07 334.093598 575.304830 1045.791611 2152.223480 5162.392814 15112.957606 69937.283906
2025-09-14 311.665767 541.192700 994.251514 2077.176195 5094.421515 15442.586411 76578.594649
2025-09-21 292.143695 511.414162 949.255453 2012.554043 5045.378231 15835.935643 84299.766657
2025-09-28 273.301828 481.763280 902.178144 1937.276856 4950.625486 16024.967702 90971.861221
2025-10-05 268.720605 480.170299 915.021935 2015.184738 5351.686030 18450.148471 120027.129248
2025-10-12 260.201596 469.974012 908.122934 2041.066293 5593.084069 20322.538036 148881.937115
2025-10-19 253.097536 462.158600 905.781434 2078.866921 5886.034057 22617.561181 189093.682561